Essential Concepts & Key Facts
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- Inflation targeting is a monetary policy regime wherein a central bank publicly announces an explicit numerical target for inflation and uses policy tools to achieve it.
- The Reserve Bank of New Zealand became the first central bank in the world to formally implement an inflation targeting framework in 1990.
- Other early adopters of inflation targeting included the Bank of Canada (1991), the Bank of England (1992), and Sweden's Sveriges Riksbank (1993).
- In India, the adoption of inflation targeting was recommended by the Urjit Patel Committee report submitted to the Reserve Bank of India in January 2014.
- India formally adopted Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT) through statutory amendments to the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934, enacted via the Finance Act, 2016.
- The 2016 amendments inserted Chapter IIIF (Sections 45Z to 45ZO) into the RBI Act, 1934, providing constitutional and statutory backing to the monetary framework.
- Under Section 45ZA of the RBI Act, the Central Government, in consultation with the RBI, fixes the inflation target once every five years.
- The headline inflation metric targeted in India is the Consumer Price Index (Combined) [CPI-C], compiled and published monthly by the National Statistical Office (NSO).
- The official inflation target is set at 4 percent, with an upper tolerance limit of 6 percent and a lower tolerance limit of 2 percent (4% ± 2%).
- Section 45ZB of the RBI Act establishes the six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) responsible for setting the benchmark policy repo rate.
- The MPC comprises three internal members: the RBI Governor (ex-officio Chairperson), the Deputy Governor in charge of monetary policy, and one RBI-nominated officer.
- The MPC also includes three external independent members appointed by the Central Government on the recommendation of a Cabinet Secretary-led Search Committee.
- External MPC members serve a non-renewable four-year term and are ineligible for reappointment under statutory guidelines.
- Decisions in the MPC are made by majority vote; in the event of a tie, the RBI Governor exercises a second or casting vote under Section 45ZL.
- The primary operating instrument of the MPC is the Policy Repo Rate, the interest rate at which the RBI lends short-term funds to commercial banks against government collateral.
- Under Section 45ZN of the RBI Act and Regulation 7 of the MPC Regulations, failure occurs if average headline CPI inflation remains outside the 2%–6% band for three consecutive quarters.
- Upon failure to meet the inflation target, the RBI must submit a formal explanatory report to the Central Government detailing the causes, remedial actions, and expected timeline for target restoration.
- Flexible inflation targeting permits the central bank to accommodate temporary supply-side shocks (such as food price volatility) without immediately raising interest rates aggressively.
- The transparency of the framework is reinforced by mandatory bi-annual Monetary Policy Reports (Section 45ZM) and published minutes of MPC meetings within 14 days of deliberations.
- By anchoring long-term inflation expectations, the framework safeguards macroeconomic stability, stabilizes foreign exchange rates, and promotes sustainable economic growth.
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